Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tervis Parnu vs Tallina JK Dunamo

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2004
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2004 game between Tervis Parnu and Tallina JK Dunamo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tervis Parnu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tervis Parnu
6%
Draws
4%
Tallina JK Dunamo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tervis Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tervis Parnu come out ahead of Tallina JK Dunamo on wins alone.
  • Tervis Parnu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2004 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tervis Parnu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tervis Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Tallina JK Dunamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tervis Parnu Tallina JK Dunamo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 5 1.38
Goals Conceded 4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2004 Esiliiga
Tallina JK Dunamo vs Tervis Parnu
0:3
Jul 16, 2004 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs Tallina JK Dunamo
4:1
Jul 12, 2004 Esiliiga
Tallina JK Dunamo vs Tervis Parnu
1:3
Apr 3, 2004 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs Tallina JK Dunamo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervis Parnu 83 / 100
Tallina JK Dunamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tervis Parnu Tallina JK Dunamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tallina JK Dunamo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Away concern: Tallina JK Dunamo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tervis Parnu scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tervis Parnu VS Tallina JK Dunamo
5 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tervis Parnu

(Home)
22 Aug
Elva
5 : 2
Tervis Parnu
26 Jul
Tervis Parnu
8 : 3
FCP Parnu
05 Nov
Tervis Parnu
1 : 3
Lelle
29 Oct
Levadia U21
1 : 0
Tervis Parnu
25 Oct
Tervis Parnu
5 : 0
TVMK Tallinn II
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Tallina JK Dunamo

(Away)
23 Nov
Tallina JK Dunamo
0 : 5
FCI Tallinn II
17 Nov
FCI Tallinn II
6 : 1
Tallina JK Dunamo
10 Nov
Tallina JK Dunamo
2 : 3
Legion
03 Nov
FC Ararat
3 : 1
Tallina JK Dunamo
26 Oct
Tallina JK Dunamo
0 : 4
FC Alliance
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu28177474:3458
2Levadia U2128176575:3757
3Tervis Parnu28182870:5056
4Tallina JK Dunamo281221449:6738
5Kuressaare281121556:7035
6Lasnamae281021666:6632
7TVMK Tallinn II28831746:5427
8JK Jalgpallihaigla28541929:8719
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2004 (Relegation)