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Tesla Hamburg vs Harksheide - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg Logo

Tesla Hamburg

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Harksheide Logo

Harksheide

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tesla Hamburg host Harksheide in the Oberliga Hamburg. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Harksheide have shipped 2.55 goals a game lately, while Tesla Hamburg have conceded 2.32 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Harksheide slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.56) back Harksheide to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tesla Hamburg
35%
Draws
30%
Harksheide
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Harksheide carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tesla Hamburg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Tesla Hamburg Clean Sheet 15%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tesla Hamburg Harksheide
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg vs Harksheide
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Tesla Hamburg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tesla Hamburg 75 / 100
Harksheide 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tesla Hamburg Harksheide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tesla Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tesla Hamburg scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Harksheide let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tesla Hamburg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tesla Hamburg VS Harksheide
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tesla Hamburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Altona
4 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
04 Oct
Tesla Hamburg
6 : 1
TSV Buchholz 08
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
12 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 3
Tesla Hamburg
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Harksheide

(Away)
09 Oct
Harksheide
3 : 3
Eintracht Norderstedt II
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
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