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Tesla Hamburg vs Harksheide Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 game between Tesla Hamburg and Harksheide finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harksheide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tesla Hamburg
35%
Draws
39%
Harksheide
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Harksheide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tesla Hamburg haven't matched Harksheide's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tesla Hamburg a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Tesla Hamburg Clean Sheet 15%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tesla Hamburg Harksheide
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg vs Harksheide
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Tesla Hamburg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tesla Hamburg 41 / 100
Harksheide 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tesla Hamburg Harksheide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Tesla Hamburg's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tesla Hamburg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tesla Hamburg VS Harksheide
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tesla Hamburg

(Home)
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
12 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 3
Tesla Hamburg
06 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
0 : 1
Dassendorf
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
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Harksheide

(Away)
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
30 Aug
Teutonia Ottensen
0 : 0
Harksheide
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