Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tesla Hamburg vs HEBC Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tesla Hamburg play HEBC Hamburg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tesla Hamburg averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. HEBC Hamburg averaged 2 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Tesla Hamburg won 2, HEBC Hamburg won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Tesla Hamburg and 2.25 for HEBC Hamburg. This points to a Tesla Hamburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tesla Hamburg
33%
Draws
27%
HEBC Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tesla Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • HEBC Hamburg demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Tesla Hamburg (1.88 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Tesla Hamburg.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tesla Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tesla Hamburg HEBC Hamburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Tesla Hamburg
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg vs HEBC Hamburg
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tesla Hamburg 38 / 100
HEBC Hamburg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tesla Hamburg HEBC Hamburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tesla Hamburg scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

HEBC Hamburg let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Tesla Hamburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

HEBC Hamburg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tesla Hamburg VS HEBC Hamburg
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%