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Teuta vs AF Elbasani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Stadiumi Niko Dovana, Durrës
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teuta host AF Elbasani in the Abissnet Superiore. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Teuta have averaged 1.24 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against AF Elbasani's 1.45 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor AF Elbasani slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.75) point toward AF Elbasani. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Teuta
30%
Draws
20%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Teuta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Teuta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Teuta Clean Sheet 20%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teuta AF Elbasani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs AF Elbasani
1:2
Feb 6, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Teuta
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs AF Elbasani
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Teuta
0:0
Mar 11, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs AF Elbasani
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teuta 85 / 100
AF Elbasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teuta AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Teuta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Teuta found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Teuta VS AF Elbasani
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Teuta

(Home)
10 Oct
Teuta
2 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
18 Sept
Vllaznia
0 : 2
Teuta
12 Sept
Teuta
2 : 0
Vora
05 Sept
Laci
1 : 3
Teuta
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AF Elbasani

(Away)
10 Oct
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vora
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teuta 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 KF Egnatia 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Dinamo City 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 KF Tirana 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
5 AF Elbasani 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
6 Laci 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
7 Vllaznia 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
8 Vora 6 1 2 3 4:11 5
9 Partizani 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
10 Skenderbeu Korca 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)