Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teuta vs AF Elbasani

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 Stadiumi Niko Dovana, Durrës
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Arifi E.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Pergjoni F. In: Trifoni X.
Out: Pergjoni F.
46'
Sub
Qose K. In: Loukili K.
Out: Qose K.

AI Match Summary

AF Elbasani in this Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Elbasani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Teuta
30%
Draws
33%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • AF Elbasani have won more games recently than Teuta.
  • Win probability leans Teuta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Teuta Clean Sheet 20%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teuta AF Elbasani
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs AF Elbasani
1:2
Feb 6, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Teuta
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs AF Elbasani
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Teuta
0:0
Mar 11, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs AF Elbasani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teuta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes da Silva J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teuta 49 / 100
AF Elbasani 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teuta AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Teuta scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Teuta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Teuta VS AF Elbasani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Teuta

(Home)
01 Aug
Teuta
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
15 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 1
Teuta
11 Jul
Lok. Sofia
0 : 0
Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
16 May
Teuta
1 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 6

AF Elbasani

(Away)
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
Partizani
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
Petrovac
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2
AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vllaznia 36 18 9 9 42:27 63
2 AF Elbasani 36 17 11 8 48:37 62
3 KF Egnatia 36 16 9 11 42:34 57
4 Dinamo City 36 12 13 11 43:33 49
5 Partizani 36 13 9 14 38:48 48
6 KF Tirana 36 11 11 14 36:46 44
7 Vora 36 10 12 14 39:40 42
8 Teuta 36 9 15 12 32:37 42
9 Bylis 36 10 11 15 38:50 41
10 Flamurtari 36 8 12 16 39:45 36
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Final Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Main)