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Teuta vs Skenderbeu Korca

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Stadiumi Niko Dovana, Durrës
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teuta host Skenderbeu Korca in the Abissnet Superiore. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Skenderbeu Korca have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Teuta have conceded 1.03 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Teuta slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.69, favoring Skenderbeu Korca. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Teuta
30%
Draws
27%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skenderbeu Korca lately — more wins on the board than Teuta.
  • Teuta are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Teuta Clean Sheet 20%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teuta Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs Teuta
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
Sep 11, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs Teuta
2:3
Apr 13, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs Teuta
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teuta 67 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teuta Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teuta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Teuta scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Skenderbeu Korca let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Teuta VS Skenderbeu Korca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Teuta

(Home)
05 Sept
Laci
1 : 3
Teuta
30 Aug
Teuta
3 : 1
KF Tirana
22 Aug
Partizani
0 : 0
Teuta
01 Aug
Teuta
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
15 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 1
Teuta
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Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
05 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
Kukesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Egnatia 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Teuta 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Dinamo City 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Laci 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
5 Partizani 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 KF Tirana 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
7 Vora 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
8 Vllaznia 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
9 AF Elbasani 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Skenderbeu Korca 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)