Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tevragh-Zeina vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ndiaye H.
49' Event
Fofana C.
Own Goal
77' Event
Ahmedou A.

AI Match Summary

Tevragh-Zeina in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tevragh-Zeina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tevragh-Zeina
20%
Draws
40%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tevragh-Zeina have won more games recently than Kaedi.
  • Win probability leans Tevragh-Zeina's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tevragh-Zeina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tevragh-Zeina Clean Sheet 68%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tevragh-Zeina Kaedi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Kaedi
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina
1:4
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Kaedi
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tevragh-Zeina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmedou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kaedi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tevragh-Zeina 50 / 100
Kaedi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tevragh-Zeina Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tevragh-Zeina's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kaedi conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tevragh-Zeina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tevragh-Zeina VS Kaedi
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tevragh-Zeina

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)