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Tevragh-Zeina vs Ksar Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
El Hassen M.
80' Event
Vall M.

AI Match Summary

Ksar in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ksar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tevragh-Zeina
15%
Draws
26%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tevragh-Zeina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tevragh-Zeina have won more games recently than Ksar.
  • Win probability leans Tevragh-Zeina's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tevragh-Zeina Clean Sheet 20%
Ksar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tevragh-Zeina Ksar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Tevragh-Zeina
1:3
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Ksar
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Tevragh-Zeina
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Ksar
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Ksar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tevragh-Zeina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hassen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vall M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tevragh-Zeina 58 / 100
Ksar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tevragh-Zeina Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tevragh-Zeina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tevragh-Zeina scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tevragh-Zeina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tevragh-Zeina VS Ksar
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tevragh-Zeina

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)