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Thackley vs Bury AFC

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Trialist
15' Event
Ibrahimi A.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Greaves T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Thackley and Bury AFC finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bury AFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Thackley
20%
Draws
58%
Bury AFC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bury AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bury AFC come out ahead of Thackley on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bury AFC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Thackley Clean Sheet 10%
Bury AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thackley Bury AFC
Matches Played 17 12
Wins 3 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.18 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Thackley vs Bury AFC
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahimi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poole S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bury AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Greaves T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thackley 10 / 100
Bury AFC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thackley Bury AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury AFC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Thackley scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Thackley has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thackley VS Bury AFC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thackley

(Home)
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
4 : 0
Thackley
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
18 Jul
Thackley
1 : 6
Guiseley
08 Jul
Bradford PA
3 : 1
Thackley
04 Jul
Steeton
4 : 1
Thackley
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Bury AFC

(Away)
15 Oct
Bury AFC
1 : 2
York City
05 Oct
Bury AFC
2 : 0
Clitheroe
01 Oct
Clitheroe
1 : 1
Bury AFC
21 Sept
Bury AFC
5 : 3
Lancaster
17 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1
Bury AFC
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