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Thai Navy vs Khonkaen FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Thai Navy play Khonkaen FC in the Thai League 2 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thai Navy averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Khonkaen FC averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Thai Navy won 3, Khonkaen FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Thai Navy and 1.56 for Khonkaen FC. This points to a Khonkaen FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Thai Navy
15%
Draws
53%
Khonkaen FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khonkaen FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Thai Navy picked up more points recently compared to Khonkaen FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Thai Navy Clean Sheet 15%
Khonkaen FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thai Navy Khonkaen FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2022 Thai League 2
Thai Navy vs Khonkaen FC
3:0
Nov 17, 2021 Thai League 2
Khonkaen FC vs Thai Navy
3:1
Mar 14, 2021 Thai League 2
Thai Navy vs Khonkaen FC
0:1
Nov 15, 2020 Thai League 2
Khonkaen FC vs Thai Navy
2:3
Aug 21, 2011 Thai League 1
Thai Navy vs Khonkaen FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thai Navy Compare

Top Goalscorer Durosinmi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Khonkaen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thai Navy 32 / 100
Khonkaen FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thai Navy Khonkaen FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khonkaen FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Khonkaen FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thai Navy attacking → ← attacking Khonkaen FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thai Navy scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Khonkaen FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Thai Navy went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Khonkaen FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 20
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lamphun Warrior34228466:3074
2Sukhothai34227578:4473
3Trat FC34208655:3368
4Lampang F.C.341512767:3857
5Chainat Hornbill341512758:4657
6Phrae United341412851:3554
7Muangkan Utd3414101070:6252
8Udon Thani341381353:5847
9Rayong FC341371445:4146
10Nakhon Pathom3410121242:4742
11Ayutthaya United3410111340:5041
12Ranong3410111335:4541
13Kasetsart349121332:4739
14Chiangmai FC341081639:5538
15Customs Utd34981744:6335
16Raj Pracha347121534:4433
17Khonkaen FC34592032:6024
18Thai Navy34252728:7111