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Thailand U16 vs North Korea U16

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thailand U16 play North Korea U16 in the AFC Championship U16 2016. North Korea U16 are favorites here. Recently, Thailand U16 averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. North Korea U16 averaged 4.26 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Thailand U16 won 0, North Korea U16 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2016 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Thailand U16 and 3.00 for North Korea U16. This points to a North Korea U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Thailand U16
15%
Draws
58%
North Korea U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Thailand U16 picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 3.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Thailand U16 Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea U16 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U16 North Korea U16
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 21
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 2.27 4.26
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2016 AFC Championship U16
Thailand U16 vs North Korea U16
1:4
Sep 6, 2015 AFC Championship U16
North Korea U16 vs Thailand U16
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nopnate H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

North Korea U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kye Tam
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ri K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.98
Avg xA / game 2.43

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U16 26 / 100
North Korea U16 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U16 North Korea U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick North Korea U16 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thailand U16 attacking → ← attacking North Korea U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U16 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

North Korea U16 let in goals in 44% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Thailand U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U16 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 65
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 4.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iran U1632107:37
2United Arab Emirates U1632107:47
3Saudi Arabia U1630126:91
4India U1630125:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U16330021:09
2Vietnam U1632016:106
3Kyrgyzstan U1631022:113
4Australia U1630032:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oman U1631204:15
2Iraq U1631204:35
3South Korea U1631114:24
4Malaysia U1630121:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U1633009:49
2North Korea U1632017:46
3Yemen U1630121:41
4Thailand U1630125:101