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Thailand U19 vs Indonesia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 2024 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Raven J.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U19 in this ASEAN Championship U19 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thailand U19
15%
Draws
42%
Indonesia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indonesia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Thailand U19.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Thailand U19 taking it.
  • Indonesia U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Thailand U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U19 Indonesia U19
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.58 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia U19 vs Thailand U19
0:2
Jul 29, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Thailand U19 vs Indonesia U19
0:1
Jul 6, 2022 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Thailand U19
0:0
Jul 14, 2018 ASEAN Championship U19
Thailand U19 vs Indonesia U19
1:2
Jul 9, 2018 ASEAN Championship U19
Thailand U19 vs Indonesia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raven J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U19 95 / 100
Indonesia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U19 Indonesia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Thailand U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Indonesia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U19 VS Indonesia U19
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Thailand U19
0 : 2
Australia U19
11 Jun
Thailand U19
4 : 0
Cambodia U19
08 Jun
Thailand U19
3 : 2
Malaysia U19
05 Jun
Singapore U19
0 : 4
Thailand U19
02 Jun
Thailand U19
9 : 0
Brunei U19
Page 1 of 7

Indonesia U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Australia U19 0
Thailand U19 1
Indonesia U19 1
Malaysia U19 0
Final
Thailand U19 0
Indonesia U19 1
Australia U19 2
Malaysia U19 1