Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 MFF Football Centre, Ulaanbaatar

Thailand U23

1 - 1

Mongolia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Palapon J.

76'

Batbold B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Thailand U23

15%

Draws

Mongolia U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Thailand U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
Thailand U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Thailand U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Thailand U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thailand U23	Mongolia U23
Matches Played	32	23
Wins	8	1
Draws	9	4
Losses	15	18
Goals Scored	1.53	0.65
Goals Conceded	1.69	3
Expected Goals (xG)	3.19	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23

Thailand U23 vs Mongolia U23

6:0

Oct 25, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23

Thailand U23 vs Mongolia U23

1:1

Jul 19, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23

Thailand U23 vs Mongolia U23

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Palapon J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.45

Avg xA / game 1.59

Mongolia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Batbold B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 95 / 100

Mongolia U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thailand U23 Mongolia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mongolia U23 conceded in 96% of 23 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mongolia U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Thailand U23 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS Mongolia U23

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 5

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U23

(Home)

26 Sept

China U23

3 : 0

Thailand U23

23 Sept

Japan U23

3 : 0

Thailand U23

20 Sept

Hong Kong U23

1 : 5

Thailand U23

16 Sept

Thailand U23

3 : 2

Kyrgyzstan U23

09 Jun

Thailand U23

2 : 5

United Arab Emirates U23

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Mongolia U23

(Away)

09 Sept

Lebanon U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

06 Sept

Mongolia U23

0 : 7

Malaysia U23

03 Sept

Thailand U23

6 : 0

Mongolia U23

24 Sept

Iran U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

21 Sept

Mongolia U23

0 : 3

Saudi Arabia U23

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