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Thailand vs Turkmenistan Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Rajamangala Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bureerat S.
Assist: Bunmathan T.
35'
Beknazarow M.
39'
Hydyrow S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Thailand
15%
Draws
39%
Turkmenistan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Thailand have won more games recently than Turkmenistan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Thailand have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Thailand, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thailand here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Thailand Clean Sheet 20%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand Turkmenistan
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 21 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.06 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Thailand vs Turkmenistan
2:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Turkmenistan vs Thailand
3:1
May 27, 2022 Friendly International
Thailand vs Turkmenistan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Bureerat S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bihr M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Turkmenistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Charyyev T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand 31 / 100
Turkmenistan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand Turkmenistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thailand scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Turkmenistan let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Thailand has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand VS Turkmenistan
2.38 Goals Scored 0.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand

(Home)
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
18 Aug
Thailand
1 : 2
Singapore
Page 1 of 7

Turkmenistan

(Away)
31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1
Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2
Oman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)