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Thailand vs Vietnam

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 Rajamangala Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Pham Tuan Hai
8' Event
Pham Tuan Hai
Assist: Pham X. M.
13'
Pomphan W.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam in this ASEAN Championship 2024 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Thailand
20%
Draws
52%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Thailand.
  • Win probability leans Vietnam's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Vietnam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Thailand Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand Vietnam
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 27
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 0
Goals Scored 2.44 2.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Thailand
2:2
Aug 22, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Vietnam
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Vietnam
2:3
Jan 2, 2025 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Thailand
2:1
Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International
Vietnam vs Thailand
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarachat S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Pham Tuan Hai
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Hai Long
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand 18 / 100
Vietnam 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Thailand stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Vietnam let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand VS Vietnam
2 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand

(Home)
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
18 Aug
Thailand
1 : 2
Singapore
15 Aug
Singapore
1 : 3
Thailand
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 7

Vietnam

(Away)
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Singapore 1
Vietnam 5
Philippines 3
Thailand 4
Final
Vietnam 5
Thailand 3