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Thailand vs Vietnam

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung
Thailand Logo

Thailand

2 - 0
FT
Vietnam Logo

Vietnam

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Yooyen S.
37'
Nguyen Tai Loc
46'
Sub
Phan T. T. In: Nguyen Hoang Duc
Out: Phan T. T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Thailand
20%
Draws
52%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Thailand.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Vietnam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Thailand Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand Vietnam
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 22 28
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 0
Goals Scored 2.48 2.84
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Thailand vs Vietnam
2:0
Aug 26, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Thailand
2:2
Aug 22, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Vietnam
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Vietnam
2:3
Jan 2, 2025 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Thailand
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Yooyen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vietnam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand 30 / 100
Vietnam 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Thailand went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vietnam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand VS Vietnam
2 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand

(Home)
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
18 Aug
Thailand
1 : 2
Singapore
15 Aug
Singapore
1 : 3
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

Vietnam

(Away)
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Indonesia 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Singapore 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Bangladesh 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Vietnam 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Philippines 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Pakistan 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)