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Thalwil vs Baden

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022
Thalwil Logo

Thalwil

0 - 4
FT
Baden Logo

Baden

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baden in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Thalwil
15%
Draws
53%
Baden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Baden have won more games recently than Thalwil.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Baden taking it.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Baden have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 13%
Baden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil Baden
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Baden
0:4
Oct 23, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Thalwil
4:1
Mar 2, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Baden
1:1
Aug 11, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Thalwil
2:1
May 14, 2016 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Thalwil
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 19 / 100
Baden 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil Baden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Thalwil's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Thalwil stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS Baden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
23 Aug
Thalwil
3 : 0
Freienbach
19 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 0
Thalwil
16 Aug
Thalwil
0 : 3
St. Gallen
08 Aug
Thalwil
2 : 1
Collina d'Oro
27 Jun
Thalwil
4 : 6
Zurich
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Baden

(Away)
22 Aug
Baden
3 : 1
Eschen/Mauren
14 Aug
Freienbach
2 : 2
Baden
08 Aug
Baden
2 : 1
Winterthur II
31 Jul
Baden
2 : 0
Gossau
25 Jul
Baden
1 : 2
FC Kreuzlingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baden 26 17 3 6 54:27 54
2 Paradiso 26 15 7 4 45:32 52
3 Tuggen 26 16 3 7 55:37 51
4 St. Gallen II 26 13 3 10 65:41 42
5 Wettswil-Bonstetten 26 13 3 10 43:24 42
6 Linth 26 10 9 7 47:41 39
7 Freienbach 26 12 3 11 44:43 39
8 Winterthur II 26 10 7 9 52:37 37
9 Eschen/Mauren 26 10 7 9 35:38 37
10 Uzwil 26 8 5 13 41:55 29
11 Gossau 26 8 4 14 35:56 28
12 Lugano II 26 8 3 15 37:51 27
13 Thalwil 26 7 2 17 30:70 23
14 Balzers 26 5 1 20 41:72 16
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)