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Thalwil vs Gossau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thalwil host Gossau in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Thalwil at 1.17 goals for, 2.5 against; Gossau at 1.42 for, 1.97 against. Past meetings favor Thalwil slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2022, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.31, favoring Gossau. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Thalwil
20%
Draws
56%
Gossau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gossau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Gossau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gossau are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 18%
Gossau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil Gossau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Thalwil
1:0
Oct 16, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Gossau
3:2
Mar 13, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Gossau
0:0
Aug 29, 2020 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Gossau vs Thalwil
1:2
May 9, 2020 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Gossau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 28 / 100
Gossau 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil Gossau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gossau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gossau let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Thalwil scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Thalwil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS Gossau
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
17 Oct
Muttenz
4 : 1
Thalwil
10 Oct
Taverne
2 : 0
Thalwil
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
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Gossau

(Away)
17 Oct
Gossau
1 : 0
Zug
10 Oct
Gossau
3 : 2
Baden
03 Oct
Gossau
4 : 1
FC Widnau
26 Sept
Taverne
5 : 0
Gossau
19 Sept
Gossau
1 : 0
Locarno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 10 7 1 2 21:16 22
2 Tuggen 10 6 3 1 23:12 21
3 Taverne 10 6 2 2 26:13 20
4 Thalwil 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
5 Baden 10 5 1 4 21:17 16
6 Kosova 10 4 4 2 15:12 16
7 Collina d'Oro 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
8 Dietikon 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
9 Gossau 10 4 2 4 15:19 14
10 Eschen/Mauren 10 3 3 4 16:19 12
11 Locarno 10 2 4 4 12:13 10
12 Freienbach 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
13 Wettswil-Bonstetten 10 2 3 5 12:15 9
14 Winterthur II 10 3 0 7 10:18 9
15 Mendrisio 10 1 5 4 11:15 8
16 FC Widnau 10 1 3 6 8:21 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)