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Thalwil vs Locarno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil Logo

Thalwil

2 - 2
FT
Locarno Logo

Locarno

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Thalwil and Locarno finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Thalwil
35%
Draws
26%
Locarno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thalwil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Thalwil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Thalwil's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 20%
Locarno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil Locarno
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Locarno
2:2
Apr 23, 2017 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Locarno
3:1
Sep 24, 2016 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Locarno vs Thalwil
2:1
Apr 9, 2016 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Locarno vs Thalwil
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Locarno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 58 / 100
Locarno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil Locarno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thalwil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locarno let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Thalwil has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Thalwil scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS Locarno
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
13 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Thalwil
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
Page 1 of 6

Locarno

(Away)
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
19 Sept
Gossau
1 : 0
Locarno
12 Sept
Locarno
0 : 0
Taverne
05 Sept
Locarno
0 : 0
FC Widnau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 9 6 2 1 20:9 20
2 St. Gallen II 9 6 1 2 20:16 19
3 Taverne 9 5 2 2 24:13 17
4 Thalwil 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Baden 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Kosova 9 4 4 1 15:11 16
7 Collina d'Oro 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
8 Dietikon 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
9 Gossau 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
10 Freienbach 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
11 Winterthur II 8 3 0 5 10:11 9
12 Eschen/Mauren 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Mendrisio 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Locarno 9 1 4 4 11:13 7
15 Wettswil-Bonstetten 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
16 FC Widnau 9 1 2 6 4:17 5
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)