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Thalwil vs Tuggen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thalwil in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thalwil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Thalwil
35%
Draws
31%
Tuggen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tuggen have won more games recently than Thalwil.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Thalwil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 11%
Tuggen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil Tuggen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.1 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Tuggen
2:1
Mar 20, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Tuggen
1:3
Sep 11, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Thalwil
2:0
Jun 12, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Tuggen
2:2
May 16, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Thalwil
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 38 / 100
Tuggen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil Tuggen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thalwil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuggen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Thalwil has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Thalwil scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS Tuggen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
13 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Thalwil
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
Page 1 of 6

Tuggen

(Away)
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
26 Sept
Tuggen
0 : 0
Kosova
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
12 Sept
Tuggen
2 : 1
Baden
05 Sept
Gossau
1 : 4
Tuggen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 9 6 2 1 20:9 20
2 St. Gallen II 9 6 1 2 20:16 19
3 Taverne 9 5 2 2 24:13 17
4 Thalwil 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Baden 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Kosova 9 4 4 1 15:11 16
7 Collina d'Oro 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
8 Dietikon 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
9 Gossau 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
10 Freienbach 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
11 Winterthur II 8 3 0 5 10:11 9
12 Eschen/Mauren 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Mendrisio 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Locarno 9 1 4 4 11:13 7
15 Wettswil-Bonstetten 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
16 FC Widnau 9 1 2 6 4:17 5
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)