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Thame United vs Chichester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Thame United
20%
Draws
29%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thame United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chichester City haven't matched Thame United's recent run of results.
  • Thame United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Thame United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chichester City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thame United Clean Sheet 13%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thame United Chichester City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Thame United vs Chichester City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thame United 48 / 100
Chichester City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thame United Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thame United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thame United's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chichester City conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Thame United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thame United VS Chichester City
1.86 Goals Scored 2
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thame United

(Home)
03 Oct
Thame United
0 : 1
Eastbourne Borough
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
23 Sept
Exmouth Town
1 : 3
Thame United
19 Sept
Thame United
3 : 3
Exmouth Town
12 Sept
Portland United
0 : 2
Thame United
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
12 Sept
Uxbridge
5 : 0
Chichester City
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Alvechurch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
St Ives Town 1
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Winslow United 4
Milton Keynes Irish 3
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Potters 2
Barton 1
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
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Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Semi-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
Wythenshawe FC 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Ashington 1
FC Guisborough Town 2
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 1
Bootle 5
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 3
Lower Breck 2
Alvechurch -
TBD -
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Bedworth United 3
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 4
Chasetown 3
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Matlock 5
Nuneaton 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stafford 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 3
Shepshed 0
Mickleover 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 3
Aveley -
TBD -
Ware 2
Sudbury 0
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 0
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 0
Egham Town 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 0
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Croydon Athletic 3
Raynes Park Vale 0
Newmarket 5
Gorleston 2
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 1
Ashford United 3
Deal Town 3
Sheppey United 0
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
Faversham 6
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
Winslow United 5
Concord Rangers 0
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 1
Erith Town 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Potters 2
Biggleswade FC 5
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 3
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 3
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 3
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 0
Didcot 4
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hartpury University 2
Weymouth 3
Portland United 0
Thame United 2
TBD -
Chichester City -
Tiverton 3
Larkhall 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Final
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 3
Hyde 2
United of Manchester 0
Workington 4
Blyth Spartans 2
FC Guisborough Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Dunston 0
Avro 2
Bury FC 4
Gainsborough 3
Cleethorpes 5
Lancaster 1
Guiseley 4
Bamber Bridge 2
Warrington Rylands 3
Stockton 1
Hallam 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
Whitby 0
Bootle 5
AFC Emley 0
Curzon Ashton 3
Stalybridge 1
Alvechurch 1
Bourne 2
Rushall 1
Stourbridge 3
Bedworth United 0
Redditch 1
Stamford 1
Loughborough Students 2
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
Matlock 0
Kettering 4
Evesham 3
Stratford 1
Ilkeston 1
Anstey Nomads 3
Quorn 4
Leamington 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Banbury 3
Racing Club Warwick 0
Bromsgrove 1
Gloucester City 4
Stafford 0
Alfreton 2
Shifnal Town 1
Mickleover 2
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 2
Wellingborough 0
Aveley 3
Ware 1
Cheshunt 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Southall FC 2
Carshalton 3
Leatherhead 3
Ramsgate 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Chatham 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Welwyn Garden 2
Takeley 2
Hitchin 0
Hanwell Town 2
Enfield Town 4
Waltham Abbey 7
Croydon Athletic 1
Newmarket 2
Leighton Town 1
Real Bedford 0
Wingate & Finchley 3
Ashford United 0
Deal Town 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Faversham 2
Welling 2
Chertsey Town 3
Brentwood 3
Hashtag 4
Uxbridge 2
Lewes 1
Whyteleafe 1
Whitehawk 4
Burgess Hill 6
Winslow United 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Stortford 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Erith Town 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Three Bridges 3
St. Albans 4
Bury Town 1
Canvey Island 0
Needham Market 3
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Leiston 0
Dartford 3
Frome Town 2
Willand Rovers 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Bath City 3
Moneyfields 1
Wimborne 3
Didcot 1
Bracknell Town 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 3
Poole Town 1
Basingstoke 0
Yate 0
Sholing 1
Chippenham Town 2
Weymouth 3
Thame United 1
Chichester City 2
Tiverton 1
Gosport Borough 3