Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Winchester City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thame United play Winchester City in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thame United averaged 2.3 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Winchester City averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Thame United won 3, Winchester City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 20, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.89 for Thame United and 1.55 for Winchester City. This points to a Thame United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Thame United

18%

Draws

29%

Winchester City

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Thame United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Thame United picked up more points recently compared to Winchester City.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.89 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Thame United Clean Sheet 15%

Winchester City Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thame United	Winchester City
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	14	10
Draws	4	5
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	2.3	1.42
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.40	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.60	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 FA Trophy

Thame United vs Winchester City

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Sep 25, 2021 FA Trophy

Thame United vs Winchester City

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

3:2

Oct 22, 2019 FA Trophy

Thame United vs Winchester City

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

5:3

Oct 15, 2019 FA Trophy

Winchester City vs Thame United

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thame United 51 / 100

Winchester City 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thame United Winchester City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thame United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Thame United & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thame United attacking → ← attacking Winchester City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thame United scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Winchester City let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Thame United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Winchester City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 35

2.40 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38