Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thamesmead vs Brightlingsea

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Thamesmead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Thamesmead
15%
Draws
12%
Brightlingsea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thamesmead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Thamesmead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Thamesmead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Thamesmead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Thamesmead, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thamesmead here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Thamesmead Clean Sheet 15%
Brightlingsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thamesmead Brightlingsea
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.67 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2017 FA Trophy
Thamesmead vs Brightlingsea
3:1
Oct 6, 2015 FA Trophy
Brightlingsea vs Thamesmead
1:4
Oct 3, 2015 FA Trophy
Thamesmead vs Brightlingsea
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thamesmead 84 / 100
Brightlingsea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thamesmead Brightlingsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thamesmead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thamesmead's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brightlingsea let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Brightlingsea's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brightlingsea
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thamesmead

(Home)
29 Sept
Didcot
3 : 1
Thamesmead
08 Sept
Moneyfields
1 : 0
Thamesmead
31 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Thamesmead
11 Nov
Thamesmead
0 : 1
Metropolitan Police
29 Oct
Thamesmead
3 : 1
Brightlingsea
Page 1 of 6

Brightlingsea

(Away)
29 Aug
Ware
2 : 1
Brightlingsea
25 Jul
Brightlingsea
1 : 5
Aveley
11 Jul
Brightlingsea
2 : 2
Braintree
06 Sept
Brightlingsea
0 : 3
Leighton Town
30 Aug
Brightlingsea
2 : 3
Bury Town
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lancaster -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 1
Mossley AFC 3
Bedworth United 1
Gresley 0
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Stratford -
Newcastle Town 3
Soham 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Alvechurch 2
Belper Town 1
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Coalville Town -
Warrington Town -
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Brighouse Town 2
Bamber Bridge 4
Frickley 3
Sheffield FC 0
TBD -
Ashton United -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Colne 0
Clitheroe 3
Shaw Lane -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Prescot Cables 3
Trafford 1
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Nantwich -
TBD -
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Rushall -
Glossop North End 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
Lincoln Utd. 1
Leek Town 4
Stamford 3
Loughborough Dynamo 0
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town -
Ossett Town 3
Goole 0
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Market Drayton 0
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Spalding United -
Witton Albion -
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Workington -
Hednesford -
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Mickleover -
Buxton -
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Hyde 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Stocksbridge 1
Radcliffe 1
Kendal 2
Whitby -
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Marine -
Neots -
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Romulus 0
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 3
Peterborough Sports 0
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Stourbridge -
Barwell -
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Carlton Town -
King’s Lynn -
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Mildenhall -
Stafford -
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St Ives Town -
Farsley -
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Scarborough Athletic 2
South Shields 5
Chesham -
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Barton 1
Hayes & Yeading 3
Cheshunt 3
Herne Bay 0
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Hitchin -
Taunton Town 3
AFC Totton 2
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Merthyr Town -
Barking 3
Chipstead 2
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Beaconsfield Town -
Brentwood 10
South Park 5
VCD Athletic 0
Bedford 1
Arlesey -
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Needham Market -
Hereford -
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Weymouth -
FC Witham Town -
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Tilbury 0
Potters 4
Corinthian-Casuals 2
AFC Dunstable 0
Guernsey FC -
Hertford Town -
Biggleswade Town -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Lewes 4
East Grinstead Town 2
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Dunstable Town -
Stortford -
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Greenwich Borough 0
Hanwell Town 1
Dorchester -
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Basingstoke -
Tonbridge -
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Carshalton 0
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury Vale 4
Molesey 3
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Harlow -
Waltham Abbey 2
Faversham 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hendon -
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Kings Langley -
Aveley 5
Marlow 3
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Burgess Hill -
Ashford Town 4
Uxbridge 1
Romford 0
Hastings 1
Kingstonian -
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Thurrock -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Northwood 2
Canvey Island 0
Walton Casuals 3
Kidlington 3
Winchester City 1
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Slough Town -
Sittingbourne 3
Ashford United 0
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Merstham -
Harrow Borough -
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Whyteleafe 0
Haringey Borough 3
Thamesmead 3
Hornchurch 2
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Brightlingsea -
Sudbury 4
Aylesbury United 3
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Metropolitan Police -
Royston Town -
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Enfield Town -
Hythe 1
Kempston 0
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Leatherhead -
Hartley Wintney 1
Slimbridge 0
Barnstaple Town 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bristol Manor Farm 4
Cinderford Town 1
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Gosport Borough -
Farnborough -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Larkhall 1
Tiverton -
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Banbury -
Paulton Rovers 3
Salisbury 2
Evesham 2
Cirencester 3
Frome Town -
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Didcot 0
Shortwood 1
Margate -
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Staines -
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Dereham 3
Shoreham 1
Egham Town 7
Billericay -
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Tooting & Mitcham -
Bury Town 5
Ramsgate 3
Phoenix Sports 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Dorking Wanderers -
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Ware -
Leiston -
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Folkestone -
Moneyfields 4
Bideford 2
Fleet Town 2
Yate 3
Cray Wanderers 8
Horsham FC 0
Norwich Utd 3
Grays 4
Thame United 1
Mangotsfield 0
North Leigh 1
Wimborne 3
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Worthing FC -
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Semi-finals
Lancaster 1
Mossley AFC 0
Bedworth United 1
Stratford 2
Newcastle Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 4
Halesowen 0
Grantham Town 1
Alvechurch 2
Cambridge City 0
Redditch 0
Coalville Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Frickley 1
Ashton United 4
Altrincham 3
Clitheroe 0
Shaw Lane 3
Ramsbottom Utd 6
Prescot Cables 1
Stalybridge 5
Nantwich 0
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 3
Matlock 2
Kettering 2
Leek Town 3
Stamford 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Spalding United 1
Witton Albion 0
Workington 4
Hednesford 1
Mickleover 0
Buxton 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Kendal 2
Whitby 1
Marine 3
Neots 3
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Stourbridge 1
Barwell 1
Carlton Town 0
King’s Lynn 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 6
St Ives Town 0
Farsley 4
South Shields 5
Chesham 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Cheshunt 0
Hitchin 5
Taunton Town 2
Merthyr Town 1
Barking 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 4
Bedford 2
Arlesey 1
Needham Market 3
Hereford 4
Weymouth 1
FC Witham Town 0
Potters 3
Corinthian-Casuals 3
Hertford Town 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Lewes 4
Dunstable Town 1
Stortford 4
Hanwell Town 0
Dorchester 2
Basingstoke 1
Tonbridge 4
Heybridge 5
Aylesbury Vale 2
Harlow 4
Waltham Abbey 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Hendon 3
Kings Langley 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford Town 4
Hastings 3
Kingstonian 7
Thurrock 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Walton Casuals 0
Kidlington 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 3
Merstham 1
Harrow Borough 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 3
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Hythe 0
Leatherhead 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Gosport Borough 1
Farnborough 3
Larkhall 1
Tiverton 4
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 6
Cirencester 2
Frome Town 0
Shortwood 2
Margate 3
Staines 0
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Egham Town 4
Billericay 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bury Town 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Dorking Wanderers 5
Ware 0
Leiston 3
Folkestone 2
Moneyfields 1
Yate 0
Cray Wanderers 4
Grays 2
Thame United 5
Wimborne 0
Lowestoft 0
Worthing FC 3
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Final
Lancaster 3
Stratford 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Grantham Town 2
Alvechurch 1
Coalville Town 5
Warrington Town 4
Ashton United 3
Altrincham 4
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Stalybridge 3
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 4
Leek Town 3
Stamford 1
Droylsden 2
Chasetown 1
Workington 3
Hednesford 2
Cleethorpes 3
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 5
Neots 2
Stourbridge 3
Barwell 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 3
South Shields 1
Chesham 3
Hitchin 1
Taunton Town 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 3
Needham Market 1
Hereford 2
Potters 1
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
Lewes 2
Stortford 0
Dorchester 1
Heybridge 2
Harlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hendon 3
Burgess Hill 0
Ashford Town 2
Kingstonian 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 0
Metropolitan Police 1
Royston Town 3
Leatherhead 2
Hartley Wintney 3
Gosport Borough 0
Farnborough 6
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Shortwood 2
Margate 2
Egham Town 0
Billericay 6
Bury Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
Leiston 1
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 5
Thame United 1
Worthing FC 0
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