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Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Thanh Hóa Stadium, Thanh Hóa
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thanh Hoa host Nam Dinh in the V.League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Thanh Hoa have averaged 1 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Nam Dinh's 1.86 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Nam Dinh slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.56) point toward Nam Dinh. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Thanh Hoa
15%
Draws
59%
Nam Dinh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nam Dinh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nam Dinh come out ahead of Thanh Hoa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nam Dinh a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 15%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thanh Hoa Nam Dinh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Thanh Hoa
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh
2:2
May 11, 2025 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Thanh Hoa
2:1
Jan 14, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Super Cup
Nam Dinh vs Thanh Hoa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thanh Hoa 10 / 100
Nam Dinh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thanh Hoa Nam Dinh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nam Dinh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thanh Hoa scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Nam Dinh has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Thanh Hoa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thanh Hoa VS Nam Dinh
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thanh Hoa

(Home)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
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Nam Dinh

(Away)
11 Sept
Da Nang
3 : 0
Nam Dinh
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
11 Jun
Nam Dinh
2 : 4
Ho Chi Minh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
6 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
7 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)