Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thanh Hoa vs PVF-CAND

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Thanh Hóa Stadium, Thanh Hóa
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Huynh Minh Doan
41'
Thai Ba Dat
43'
Vo Anh Quan

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Thanh Hoa and PVF-CAND finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thanh Hoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Thanh Hoa
15%
Draws
65%
PVF-CAND
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PVF-CAND

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Thanh Hoa haven't matched PVF-CAND's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on PVF-CAND taking it.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Thanh Hoa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 23%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thanh Hoa PVF-CAND
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs PVF-CAND
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Thanh Hoa
2:2
Aug 16, 2023 Vietnamese Cup
Thanh Hoa vs PVF-CAND
4:1
May 25, 2020 Vietnamese Cup
PVF-CAND vs Thanh Hoa
1:2
Oct 29, 2019 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs PVF-CAND
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thanh Hoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Ngoc My
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PVF-CAND Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thanh Hoa 16 / 100
PVF-CAND 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thanh Hoa PVF-CAND

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVF-CAND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVF-CAND let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Thanh Hoa found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Thanh Hoa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thanh Hoa VS PVF-CAND
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thanh Hoa

(Home)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Page 1 of 6

PVF-CAND

(Away)
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
22 May
Viettel
1 : 1
PVF-CAND
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)