Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thatcham vs Bristol Manor Farm Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Sat, Sep 9, 2023
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bristol Manor Farm in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thatcham
15%
Draws
85%
Bristol Manor Farm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bristol Manor Farm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bristol Manor Farm lately — more wins on the board than Thatcham.
  • Model gives Bristol Manor Farm a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Bristol Manor Farm arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bristol Manor Farm, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Thatcham Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol Manor Farm Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thatcham Bristol Manor Farm
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Thatcham vs Bristol Manor Farm
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thatcham 18 / 100
Bristol Manor Farm 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thatcham Bristol Manor Farm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol Manor Farm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bristol Manor Farm conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Thatcham found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Bristol Manor Farm lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thatcham VS Bristol Manor Farm
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thatcham

(Home)
17 Sept
Thatcham
1 : 2
Evesham
09 Sept
Thatcham
2 : 3
Bristol Manor Farm
29 Jul
Thatcham
0 : 3
Hungerford
15 Jul
Thatcham
0 : 2
Maidenhead
24 Sept
Thatcham
0 : 3
AFC Dunstable
Page 1 of 6

Bristol Manor Farm

(Away)
12 Sept
Bristol Manor Farm
2 : 3
Moneyfields
29 Aug
Bishops Cleeve
1 : 3
Bristol Manor Farm
04 Jul
Bristol Manor Farm
0 : 3
Newport
06 Sept
Bristol Manor Farm
0 : 2
Shaftesbury Town
26 Oct
Bristol Manor Farm
1 : 2
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Avro 2
Winterton Rangers 1
Trafford 1
Stalybridge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Bootle 6
Consett 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
North Ferriby FC 2
Ossett United 1
Prescot Cables 4
Bridlington Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge 0
Nantwich 3
Dunston 3
Ashington 0
Lancaster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
1874 Northwich 1
Runcorn Linnets 0
Witton Albion 1
Hanley Town 2
Cleethorpes 0
Sheffield FC 2
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 2
Hebburn Town 1
Widnes FC 0
Clitheroe 1
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mossley AFC 0
Vauxhall 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
Stocksbridge 3
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Quorn 4
Coventry Sphinx 0
Bedworth United 1
Leek Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
Long Eaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Hinckley LR -
TBD -
Harborough 2
Lye Town 1
Biggleswade FC 3
Stowmarket Town 1
Hadley 4
Ware 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Anstey Nomads 2
Corby 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Boldmere St Michaels 2
Rugby 1
Grantham Town 5
Kings Langley 1
Cambridge City 2
Leighton Town 3
Kempston 1
Stafford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gresley 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 6
Sporting Khalsa 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Matlock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Gorleston 1
Aylesbury United 2
Bedford 3
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town 2
Newcastle Town 0
Hednesford 0
Walsall Wood 3
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 1
Carlton Town 5
Chasetown 5
Shepshed 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Broadbridge Heath 0
Cray Valley 2
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Hartley Wintney 1
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
Westfield 4
Littlehampton 1
Raynes Park Vale 0
Marlow 1
Southall FC 2
Chichester City 1
Herne Bay 1
Leatherhead 6
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable -
East Thurrock Utd -
Wroxham 2
Brightlingsea 4
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Thame United 0
Badshot Lea 5
Merstham 0
Sutton Common Rovers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Redbridge 1
Stotfold 0
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 1
Metropolitan Police 2
Ashford United 7
Binfield 1
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Waltham Abbey 6
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Heybridge 3
Barton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Basildon 5
Lowestoft 5
New Salamis FC 3
South Park 2
Erith & Belvedere 1
Beckenham Town 1
Three Bridges 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanworth Villa 1
Chertsey Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Hythe 3
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 2
Bury Town 3
Enfield FC -
Walthamstow FC -
Ramsgate 3
Northwood 0
Uxbridge 1
Sevenoaks 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Sheppey United 1
Sittingbourne 2
Ashford Town 1
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Brentwood 0
Hertford Town 3
Grays 2
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Horndean 2
Ascot United 3
Chipstead 2
Lancing 4
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Didcot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cribbs 3
Bideford 2
Evesham 1
Bashley 2
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidlington 2
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 4
Wimborne 3
Bishops Cleeve 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Thatcham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Westbury United 2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 5
Frome Town 3
Cirencester 1
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Hamworthy United 3
Melksham 0
Larkhall 2
Willand Rovers 0
Malvern Town 2
Mousehole 4
Yate 0
Tavistock 2
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Semi-finals
Avro 1
Stalybridge 0
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton 0
Bootle 2
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
North Ferriby FC 3
Prescot Cables 2
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Dunston 1
Lancaster -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 2
Witton Albion 1
Hanley Town 2
Sheffield FC 1
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 3
Clitheroe 2
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Worksop -
TBD -
Vauxhall 0
Stocksbridge 1
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Quorn 4
Leek Town 2
TBD -
Telford -
Long Eaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Hinckley LR 0
Harborough 1
Biggleswade FC 2
Hadley 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Anstey Nomads 3
Loughborough Dynamo 2
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
Grantham Town 1
Cambridge City 0
Leighton Town 2
Stafford -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Sporting Khalsa 4
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Matlock -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bedford 1
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Belper Town 1
Walsall Wood 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Carlton Town 2
Chasetown 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
Cray Valley 2
Hartley Wintney 0
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
Westfield 2
Marlow 1
Southall FC 1
Leatherhead 3
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Brightlingsea 3
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Badshot Lea 5
Sutton Common Rovers 3
FC Witham Town 2
Redbridge 3
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police 1
Ashford United 2
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Waltham Abbey 1
Heybridge 5
TBD -
Chatham -
Lewes -
TBD -
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 4
South Park 2
Three Bridges 1
TBD -
Hashtag -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Chertsey Town 2
Hythe 4
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
Bury Town 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ramsgate 3
Sevenoaks 1
Sheppey United 2
Sittingbourne 1
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Billericay -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Hertford Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
Ascot United 6
Lancing 2
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Didcot -
TBD -
Cribbs 4
Bashley 3
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Kidlington 2
Exmouth Town 1
Bishops Cleeve 3
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Frome Town 3
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Hamworthy United 1
Larkhall 2
Mousehole 3
Tavistock 0
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Final
Avro 4
Warrington Rylands 0
Bootle 0
Bamber Bridge 2
North Ferriby FC 4
Atherton Collieries 0
Bradford PA 0
Nantwich 1
Lancaster 0
City Of Liverpool 1
Hanley Town 0
Macclesfield 1
Morpeth 1
United of Manchester 4
Ashton United 2
Brighouse Town 1
Workington 1
Hyde 3
Radcliffe 3
Whitby 2
Gainsborough 1
Guiseley 3
Worksop 2
Stocksbridge 1
Marske United 2
Marine 4
Quorn 2
Telford 0
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 4
Stratford 1
Basford Utd. 0
Redditch 2
Leamington 1
Harborough 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Barwell 2
Mickleover 3
St Ives Town 3
Kettering 2
Bromsgrove 0
Halesowen 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Alvechurch 1
Royston Town 1
Coalville Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Leighton Town 3
Stafford 3
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hitchin 2
Stamford 3
Matlock 1
Bedford 0
Ilkeston 2
Walsall Wood 3
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 0
Carshalton 1
Cray Valley 2
Hendon 3
Sudbury 1
Westfield 3
Leatherhead 1
Leiston 2
Hornchurch 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Canvey Island 1
Chesham 4
Enfield Town 3
Bognor Regis 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Horsham FC 2
Brightlingsea 0
Harrow Borough 1
Margate 0
Cheshunt 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Badshot Lea 0
Redbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 3
Ashford United 0
Potters 4
Berkhamsted Town 1
Needham Market 0
Cray Wanderers 1
Hanwell Town 1
Bracknell Town 2
Heybridge 1
Chatham 2
Lewes 4
Lowestoft 1
South Park 2
Hashtag 0
Concord Rangers 2
Hythe 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Bury Town 1
Ramsgate 4
Sheppey United 1
Hastings 1
Kingstonian 2
Billericay 4
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Whitehawk 2
Ascot United 0
Folkestone 2
Haringey Borough 3
Didcot 1
Cribbs 2
Poole Town 3
Sholing 1
Basingstoke 3
Kidlington 0
Bishops Cleeve 1
Frome Town 5
Swindon Supermarine 3
Tiverton 1
Larkhall 2
Mousehole 0
Gosport Borough 3
Salisbury 2
Merthyr Town 3
Dorchester 1
AFC Totton 2
Plymouth Parkway 1
Winchester City 3
Hungerford 5