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The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Higgins C.
Own Goal
9' Event
Rideout J.
29' Event
Rideout J.

AI Match Summary

The Cove FC in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored The Cove FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
The Cove FC
39%
Draws
31%
Adelaide Olympic
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • The Cove FC haven't matched Adelaide Olympic's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 16%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Adelaide Olympic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic
3:2
Jun 14, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rideout J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Pudler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 30 / 100
Adelaide Olympic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Adelaide Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

The Cove FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: The Cove FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS Adelaide Olympic
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711