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The Cove FC vs Cumberland United Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Min D.
85' Event
Ellul M.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between The Cove FC and Cumberland United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
The Cove FC
15%
Draws
73%
Cumberland United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cumberland United come out ahead of The Cove FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 13%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Cumberland United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Cumberland United
0:2
May 8, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs The Cove FC
0:2
Jun 7, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs The Cove FC
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Cumberland United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Min D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellul M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 10 / 100
Cumberland United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Cumberland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumberland United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Cove FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cumberland United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Cumberland United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS Cumberland United
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

The Cove FC

(Home)
15 Aug
The Cove FC
1 : 3
Fulham United
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
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Cumberland United

(Away)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)