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The Cove FC vs South Adelaide

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Garba A.
35' Event
Yates C.
49' Event
Becker Z.

AI Match Summary

The Cove FC in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored The Cove FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
The Cove FC
11%
Draws
9%
South Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: The Cove FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to The Cove FC lately — more wins on the board than South Adelaide.
  • Model gives The Cove FC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • The Cove FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 17%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC South Adelaide
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs The Cove FC
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs South Adelaide
2:1
Aug 5, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs South Adelaide
4:0
May 2, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs The Cove FC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yates C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becker Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Garba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 75 / 100
South Adelaide 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC South Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Adelaide conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

The Cove FC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: The Cove FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS South Adelaide
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

The Cove FC

(Home)
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
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South Adelaide

(Away)
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1
South Adelaide
27 Jun
South Adelaide
0 : 1
Fulham United
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1
South Adelaide
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders19131550:2340
2Adelaide Olympic19121638:2437
3Modbury Jets19105438:1835
4Fulham United19103638:2833
5Cumberland United19101834:2531
6Blue Eagles1994632:2731
7Adelaide Atletico1993733:2930
8The Cove FC1975726:2726
9Adelaide Cobras19621122:3720
10Eastern United19441118:3916
11Salisbury United19421324:4214
12South Adelaide19331320:5412
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)