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The Lakes FC vs Toowong City

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ciereszko H.
35' Event
Fogarty D.
36' Event
Fogarty D.

AI Match Summary

The Lakes FC in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored The Lakes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
The Lakes FC
11%
Draws
9%
Toowong City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: The Lakes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Toowong City at 2.13 per game, The Lakes FC at 2.
  • The Lakes FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 10%
Toowong City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Lakes FC Toowong City
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs Toowong City
5:2
Mar 27, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Toowong City vs The Lakes FC
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fearn J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fogarty D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Toowong City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciereszko H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Lakes FC 74 / 100
Toowong City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Lakes FC Toowong City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Lakes FC's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Toowong City let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

The Lakes FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

The Lakes FC VS Toowong City
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

The Lakes FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Bayside United
5 : 2
The Lakes FC
26 Sept
Brisbane Knights
1 : 8
The Lakes FC
19 Sept
Gravatt
0 : 3
The Lakes FC
11 Sept
The Lakes FC
1 : 1
Centenary Stormers
04 Sept
The Gap
1 : 0
The Lakes FC
Page 1 of 5

Toowong City

(Away)
02 Oct
Acacia Ridge
4 : 2
Toowong City
25 Sept
Toowong City
0 : 1
Univ. of Queensland
18 Sept
Toowong City
2 : 1
Brisbane Knights
12 Sept
St. George Willawong
1 : 2
Toowong City
05 Sept
Toowong City
3 : 2
Bayside United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414
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