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Thermaikos FC vs PAOK Kristonis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 game between Thermaikos FC and PAOK Kristonis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAOK Kristonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Thermaikos FC
6%
Draws
4%
PAOK Kristonis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thermaikos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thermaikos FC come out ahead of PAOK Kristonis on wins alone.
  • Thermaikos FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Thermaikos FC Clean Sheet 20%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thermaikos FC PAOK Kristonis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs PAOK Kristonis
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs PAOK Kristonis
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Thermaikos FC
1:2
Apr 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Thermaikos FC
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs PAOK Kristonis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thermaikos FC 85 / 100
PAOK Kristonis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thermaikos FC PAOK Kristonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Thermaikos FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Thermaikos FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

PAOK Kristonis has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Thermaikos FC VS PAOK Kristonis
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thermaikos FC

(Home)
08 Apr
Orestis Orestiadas
1 : 3
Thermaikos FC
05 Apr
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 0
Thermaikos FC
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
28 Mar
Thermaikos FC
1 : 1
Kilkisiakos
22 Mar
Krya Vrysi
1 : 3
Thermaikos FC
Page 1 of 6

PAOK Kristonis

(Away)
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 1
Orestis Orestiadas
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
28 Mar
PAOK Kristonis
1 : 3
Krya Vrysi
22 Mar
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panthrakikos22163352:1651
2Xanthi22128248:1744
3Doxa Dramas22134541:2543
4Iraklis Thermaikou22108431:1838
5Poseidonas Michanionas22810428:2234
6Aetos Ofryniou22103937:3733
7PAOK Kristonis2278724:2829
8Krya Vrysi2268829:3026
9Thermaikos FC22641219:3222
10Kilkisiakos22561126:3821
11PAOK Dytikou22371221:4216
12Orestis Orestiadas22112012:634
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)