Sport Picks
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi 
Match Events
36'
36'
Maeda R.
Assist: Shirai E.
40'
40'
Tamashiro T.
Assist: Ikeshita Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Ishiyama A. In: Kasai K.
Out: Ishiyama A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albirex Niigata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Albirex Niigata come out ahead of Thespakusatsu Gunma on wins alone.
- 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Albirex Niigata arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Albirex Niigata here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 14%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Albirex Niigata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata
0:2
Mar 26, 2022 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:2
Nov 21, 2021 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata
0:0
Mar 20, 2021 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Tamashiro T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Albirex Niigata Compare
Top Goalscorer Maeda R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kasai K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thespakusatsu Gunma 31 / 100
Albirex Niigata 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thespakusatsu Gunma Albirex Niigata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Albirex Niigata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Albirex Niigata let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Thespakusatsu Gunma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Albirex Niigata
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Home) 10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
Albirex Niigata
(Away) 03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2 Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2 Albirex Niigata
06 Sept
Yokohama FC
5 : 0 Albirex Niigata
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
29 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 3 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
