Sport Picks
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi 
Match Events
5'
5'
Suzu N.
Assist: Okuda K.
42'
42'
Okada Y.
Assist: Okuda K.
45'
45'
Hyakuda M.
Assist: Konishi H.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Fukushima United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fukushima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thespakusatsu Gunma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Thespakusatsu Gunma haven't matched Fukushima United's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Thespakusatsu Gunma taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Fukushima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United
1:2
May 6, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2:4
Dec 8, 2019 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2
Jul 7, 2019 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Fukushima United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Hyakuda M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Fukushima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Suzu N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okada Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thespakusatsu Gunma 83 / 100
Fukushima United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thespakusatsu Gunma Fukushima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thespakusatsu Gunma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fukushima United conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Thespakusatsu Gunma's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Fukushima United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Fukushima United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Home) 10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
Fukushima United
(Away) 10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Reilac Shiga
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
26 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Fukushima United
22 Aug
Gainare Tottori
2 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
