Sport Picks
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United
Japan
J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi 
Match Events
33'
33'
Farzan Sana M.
58'
58'
Sub
Shimokawa T. In: Nakashima T.
Out: Shimokawa T.
64'
64'
Sub
Fujimura R. In: Tamashiro T.
Out: Fujimura R.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Kochi United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thespakusatsu Gunma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kochi United come out ahead of Thespakusatsu Gunma on wins alone.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Thespakusatsu Gunma taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Thespakusatsu Gunma have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 68%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Kochi United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 J3 League
Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:1
May 17, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakamura R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Kochi United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thespakusatsu Gunma 59 / 100
Kochi United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thespakusatsu Gunma Kochi United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thespakusatsu Gunma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Kochi United conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Kochi United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Kochi United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Home) 19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
22 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 3 Reilac Shiga
15 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 4 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 3
Kochi United
(Away) 19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1 Kanazawa
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
05 Sept
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Kochi United
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
05 Sept
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Kochi United
19 Aug
Verspah Oita
3 : 0 Kochi United
15 Aug
Gifu
7 : 0 Kochi United
06 Jun
Omiya Ardija
2 : 1 Kochi United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Ehime | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Gifu | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Sagamihara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kanazawa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Kochi United | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
