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Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Ryukyu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi
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AI Match Summary

Thespakusatsu Gunma in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
15%
Draws
59%
Ryukyu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ryukyu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma have won more games recently than Ryukyu.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Thespakusatsu Gunma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 14%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thespakusatsu Gunma Ryukyu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 0 2
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:2
Feb 15, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Ryukyu
0:0
Sep 14, 2022 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Ryukyu
0:0
Apr 16, 2022 J2 League
Ryukyu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:1
Sep 18, 2021 J2 League
Ryukyu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thespakusatsu Gunma 41 / 100
Ryukyu 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thespakusatsu Gunma Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Thespakusatsu Gunma scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Thespakusatsu Gunma has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Ryukyu
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thespakusatsu Gunma

(Home)
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3
Fukushima United
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Ryukyu

(Away)
03 Oct
Ryukyu
0 : 2
Kanazawa
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)