Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma

Thespakusatsu Gunma

7 - 2

SC Sagamihara

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Nakano R.

Assist: Konishi H.

31'

Watahiki K.

45'

Hyakuda M.

Assist: Konishi H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Thespakusatsu Gunma and SC Sagamihara finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Thespakusatsu Gunma

30%

Draws

34%

SC Sagamihara

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thespakusatsu Gunma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

SC Sagamihara carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Thespakusatsu Gunma a 36% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 15%

SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thespakusatsu Gunma	SC Sagamihara
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	15
Draws	2	2
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	2.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

7:2

Mar 4, 2026 J2/J3 League

SC Sagamihara vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

5:0

Sep 27, 2025 J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Apr 13, 2025 J3 League

SC Sagamihara vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Mar 6, 2024 J.League Cup

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hyakuda M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokida M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sugimoto R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thespakusatsu Gunma 35 / 100

SC Sagamihara 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thespakusatsu Gunma SC Sagamihara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Thespakusatsu Gunma's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

SC Sagamihara let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Thespakusatsu Gunma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thespakusatsu Gunma VS SC Sagamihara

2.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15