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Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Yamada H.
Assist: Fujii T.
13' Event
Yamada H.
59'
Sub
Ishii H. In: Ota S.
Out: Ishii H.

AI Match Summary

Shonan Bellmare in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shonan Bellmare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
11%
Draws
9%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Thespakusatsu Gunma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Thespakusatsu Gunma at 2.13 per game, Shonan Bellmare at 1.
  • Model gives Thespakusatsu Gunma a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shonan Bellmare have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 68%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thespakusatsu Gunma Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 J2/J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare
0:2
Aug 26, 2017 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare
0:2
Mar 4, 2017 J2 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:1
Nov 1, 2014 J2 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamada H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thespakusatsu Gunma 86 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thespakusatsu Gunma Shonan Bellmare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shonan Bellmare lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Thespakusatsu Gunma scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Shonan Bellmare conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Shonan Bellmare
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515