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Thesprotos vs Tilikratis Lefkada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tilikratis Lefkada in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tilikratis Lefkada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thesprotos
15%
Draws
85%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tilikratis Lefkada lately — more wins on the board than Thesprotos.
  • Win probability leans Tilikratis Lefkada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tilikratis Lefkada have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 11%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thesprotos Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 11
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Thesprotos
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Thesprotos
1:1
Jan 20, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thesprotos 10 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thesprotos Tilikratis Lefkada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Thesprotos found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Tilikratis Lefkada let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Tilikratis Lefkada lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thesprotos VS Tilikratis Lefkada
0 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thesprotos

(Home)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Away)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)