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Thimphu City vs Drukpa

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City play Drukpa in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thimphu City averaged 3.13 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Drukpa averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Thimphu City won 0, Drukpa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Thimphu City and 1.38 for Drukpa. This points to a Thimphu City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Thimphu City
22%
Draws
27%
Drukpa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Thimphu City picked up more points recently compared to Drukpa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 17%
Drukpa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Drukpa
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 21 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 3.13 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Drukpa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshering O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Drukpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sullivan Taylor L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 49 / 100
Drukpa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Drukpa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thimphu City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thimphu City attacking → ← attacking Drukpa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu City scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Drukpa let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Thimphu City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Drukpa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 9
3.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thimphu City852119:617
2Paro751127:716
3RTC84138:813
4Transport United74038:912
5BFF Academy U19731313:1310
6Tsirang831411:1210
7Thimphu FC73137:810
8Drukpa723212:89
9Tensung71243:115
10Ugyen Academy81077:333