Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thimphu City vs Samtse

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City in this Premier League 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Thimphu City
20%
Draws
17%
Samtse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Thimphu City have won more games recently than Samtse.
  • Model gives Thimphu City a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Thimphu City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 20%
Samtse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Samtse
Matches Played 46 36
Wins 29 7
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 3.39 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 4.06
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Thimphu City
1:10
Jun 16, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Samtse
7:0
Sep 11, 2024 Premier League
Samtse vs Thimphu City
1:2
Jul 6, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Samtse
6:1
Feb 2, 2013 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Samtse
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 85 / 100
Samtse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Samtse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu City scored in 89% of their last 46 games.

Defensive concern: Samtse conceded in 94% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Thimphu City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu City VS Samtse
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu City

(Home)
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
07 Aug
Tsirang
1 : 1
Thimphu City
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
19 Jul
Thimphu City
2 : 0
Thimphu FC
15 Jul
Tensung
0 : 4
Thimphu City
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Samtse

(Away)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
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