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Thimphu City vs Thimphu FC

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City play Thimphu FC in the Premier League 2015. Thimphu City are favorites here. Recently, Thimphu City averaged 3.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Thimphu FC averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Thimphu City won 4, Thimphu FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Thimphu City and 1.06 for Thimphu FC. This points to a Thimphu City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Thimphu City
15%
Draws
24%
Thimphu FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Thimphu City picked up more points recently compared to Thimphu FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 22%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Thimphu FC
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 30 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 3.5 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Thimphu City
0:3
Oct 28, 2018 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Thimphu City
1:2
Oct 9, 2018 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Thimphu FC
0:1
Sep 13, 2017 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Thimphu City
1:3
Jul 29, 2017 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Thimphu FC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 59 / 100
Thimphu FC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Thimphu FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Thimphu City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thimphu City attacking → ← attacking Thimphu FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu City scored in 90% of their last 42 games.

Thimphu FC let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Thimphu City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

96 Points in last 5 33
3.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00