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Thimphu City vs Thimphu FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Tugunpulatov B.
77' Event
Tshering D.

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Thimphu City
15%
Draws
44%
Thimphu FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thimphu City have won more games recently than Thimphu FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thimphu City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 19%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Thimphu FC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 24 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 3.15 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Thimphu FC
2:0
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Thimphu City
0:3
Oct 28, 2018 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Thimphu City
1:2
Oct 9, 2018 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Thimphu FC
0:1
Sep 13, 2017 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Thimphu City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tugunpulatov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tshering D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Thimphu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 32 / 100
Thimphu FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Thimphu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu City scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Thimphu FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Thimphu City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu City VS Thimphu FC
3.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu City

(Home)
08 Oct
Thimphu City
0 : 2
Paro
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
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Thimphu FC

(Away)
30 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 1
Thimphu FC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:12 49
2 Thimphu City 18 12 4 2 49:14 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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