Sport Picks

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Thimphu FC vs Paro

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Thimphu FC Logo

Thimphu FC

1 - 5
FT
Paro Logo

Paro

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Jawara S.
34' Event
Mishima Y.
37' Event
Mishima Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paro in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thimphu FC
15%
Draws
42%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Paro have won more games recently than Thimphu FC.
  • Model gives Paro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 10%
Paro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu FC Paro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 22
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.86 3.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu FC
2:0
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Paro
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abeiku S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mishima Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jawara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu FC 10 / 100
Paro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu FC Paro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Thimphu FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu FC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Paro let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu FC VS Paro
1.75 Goals Scored 3.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu FC

(Home)
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
15 Aug
Thimphu FC
3 : 0
Transport United
Page 1 of 6

Paro

(Away)
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 66:12 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 17 10 1 6 26:21 31
4 Transport United 17 9 2 6 27:23 29
5 RTC 17 7 4 6 24:19 25
6 Drukpa 17 6 5 6 35:28 23
7 BFF Academy U19 16 5 4 7 28:38 19
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 17 2 2 13 13:48 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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