Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thimphu FC vs Paro

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thimphu FC play Paro in the Premier League. Paro are favorites here. Recently, Thimphu FC averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Paro averaged 3.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Thimphu FC won 2, Paro won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Thimphu FC and 1.69 for Paro. This points to a Paro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Thimphu FC
15%
Draws
56%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Thimphu FC picked up more points recently compared to Paro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 13%
Paro Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu FC Paro
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 24
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.86 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Paro
0-1
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu FC
1-0
Mar 12, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Paro
2-0
Feb 12, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu FC
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Paro
1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu FC 29 / 100
Paro 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu FC Paro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Paro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thimphu FC attacking → ← attacking Paro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Paro let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Thimphu FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paro lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 76
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paro861131:719
2Thimphu City852119:617
3Thimphu FC84139:913
4RTC84138:813
5Transport United74038:912
6BFF Academy U19731313:1310
7Tsirang831411:1210
8Drukpa823313:109
9Tensung81253:155
10Ugyen Academy81077:333