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Thimphu FC vs Transport United Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Abeiku S.
24' Event
Gurung S.
33' Event
Opoku W.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Thimphu FC and Transport United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thimphu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Thimphu FC
30%
Draws
19%
Transport United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thimphu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Transport United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Thimphu FC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Transport United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 11%
Transport United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu FC Transport United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.83 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Transport United
3:0
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Transport United vs Thimphu FC
1:0
Oct 13, 2018 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Transport United
1:2
Sep 19, 2018 Premier League
Transport United vs Thimphu FC
6:4
Aug 15, 2017 Premier League
Transport United vs Thimphu FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abeiku S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gurung S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Transport United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu FC 83 / 100
Transport United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu FC Transport United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Thimphu FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Thimphu FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Transport United conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu FC VS Transport United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu FC

(Home)
30 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 1
Thimphu FC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
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Transport United

(Away)
29 Sept
Drukpa
1 : 1
Transport United
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
18 Sept
Transport United
1 : 1
RTC
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
09 Sept
BFF Academy U19
0 : 5
Transport United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 66:12 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 17 5 5 7 29:39 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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