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Thimphu FC vs Tsirang

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Thimphu FC host Tsirang in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tsirang have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Thimphu FC have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Thimphu FC have won 0 to Tsirang's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Thimphu FC. Thimphu FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thimphu FC
40%
Draws
29%
Tsirang
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Thimphu FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tsirang.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 16%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu FC Tsirang
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Tsirang
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu FC 31 / 100
Tsirang 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu FC Tsirang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Tsirang let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Thimphu FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tsirang lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu FC VS Tsirang
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paro861131:719
2Thimphu City852119:617
3Transport United850312:1115
4RTC942311:1114
5Thimphu FC84139:913
6Tsirang932414:1511
7BFF Academy U19831415:1710
8Drukpa823313:109
9Tensung81253:155
10Ugyen Academy81077:333