Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thimphu FC vs Ugyen Academy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Chozang S. J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Thimphu FC and Ugyen Academy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thimphu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Thimphu FC
15%
Draws
16%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thimphu FC come out ahead of Ugyen Academy on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Thimphu FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu FC Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.83 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Ugyen Academy
1:0
Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu FC
2:4
Oct 20, 2018 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Ugyen Academy
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu FC
0:1
Sep 10, 2017 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chozang S. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ugyen Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu FC 85 / 100
Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu FC Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ugyen Academy conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Thimphu FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Thimphu FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu FC VS Ugyen Academy
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu FC

(Home)
30 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 1
Thimphu FC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
Page 1 of 6

Ugyen Academy

(Away)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:12 49
2 Thimphu City 18 12 4 2 49:14 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)