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Thionville vs Cannes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stadium Plaine, Thionville
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thionville host Cannes in the Ligue 3. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Thionville at 1.71 goals for, 1.5 against; Cannes at 2.03 for, 1.17 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.38, favoring Cannes. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Thionville
35%
Draws
56%
Cannes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cannes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cannes lately — more wins on the board than Thionville.
  • Cannes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Thionville Clean Sheet 17%
Cannes Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Cannes
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.71 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 10 / 100
Cannes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Cannes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cannes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Cannes let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Thionville went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cannes's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Cannes
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
17 Oct
Thionville
1 : 2
Versailles
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Cannes

(Away)
17 Oct
Villefranche
2 : 1
Cannes
03 Oct
Cannes
3 : 1
Quevilly
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)