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Thionville vs Nancy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fdaouch Z.
41' Event
Housni I.
57' Event
Kalambayi Mukuta S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Thionville
20%
Draws
60%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Nancy haven't matched Thionville's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nancy a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thionville Clean Sheet 18%
Nancy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Nancy
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Thionville vs Nancy
2:2
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Nancy vs Thionville
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalambayi Mukuta S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fdaouch Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Housni I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 23 / 100
Nancy 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Nancy let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nancy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Nancy
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
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Nancy

(Away)
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Nancy
1 : 2
Reims
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
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