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Thionville vs Progres Niedercorn

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Thionville and Progres Niedercorn finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Thionville
20%
Draws
36%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thionville come out ahead of Progres Niedercorn on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Thionville Clean Sheet 17%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Progres Niedercorn vs Thionville
0:5
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Thionville vs Progres Niedercorn
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 30 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thionville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Progres Niedercorn has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Thionville stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Progres Niedercorn
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Thionville
1 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Thionville
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3
Caen
07 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 3
Thionville
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Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1
UNA Strassen
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4
Progres Niedercorn
09 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
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